Gold prices extended their upward momentum on Tuesday, climbing for a third consecutive session as investors turned their attention to key US inflation figures that could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate decision. The precious metal continued to attract buying interest amid renewed safe-haven demand and growing expectations that US monetary policy could become less restrictive if economic data point to a cooling economy. Spot gold gained around 1% to reach $4,432.74 per ounce by 0217 GMT, its highest level since June 5. US gold futures also advanced, rising 1.7% to $4,492.60 per ounce. Market analysts said several factors were contributing to the latest rally, including investors who had stayed on the sidelines during gold’s earlier decline and are now returning to the market as prices recover. IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said the move was partly being driven by a fear of missing out among investors who had failed to take advantage of the previous decline toward the $4,000 level. He also pointed to short-covering by speculative traders and renewed demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Sycamore added that gold could have further room to advance over the medium term, potentially opening the way for a stronger recovery toward the $5,000-per-ounce mark. US inflation data in focus Investors are now closely watching the latest US inflation figures, with the consumer price index (CPI) scheduled for release on Wednesday and producer price data due on Thursday. The reports are expected to provide important clues about the future direction of US interest rates. Markets have already reduced expectations for further monetary tightening following weaker-than-expected US employment data released last week. The latest jobs figures raised concerns about the strength of the US economy and encouraged traders to reassess expectations for the Federal Reserve’s policy path. At its July meeting, the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, although three policymakers dissented and supported an increase. The split among officials highlighted uncertainty over the appropriate direction of monetary policy as the central bank continues to balance inflation risks against signs of economic weakness. Gold generally benefits from a lower-interest-rate environment because the metal does not provide interest or other regular income. When bond yields and interest rates decline, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion becomes less significant, potentially increasing its appeal among investors. Fawad Razaqzada said that if incoming economic data continue to indicate a slowing US economy without a significant acceleration in inflation, financial markets could further reduce expectations for tighter monetary policy. Such a development could weigh on the US dollar while creating a more supportive environment for gold, he said. Geopolitical tensions add to safe-haven demand Geopolitical developments also remained an important factor in precious-metals markets. US President Donald Trump responded to Iran’s conditions for a potential peace agreement with demands of his own, including calls for compensation over people killed during wars, attacks and protests. The exchange has added uncertainty to diplomatic efforts aimed at resolving the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a strategically important waterway for global energy shipments. Any prolonged disruption or renewed tensions around the Strait could increase concerns over global energy supplies and economic stability. Such uncertainty often encourages investors to seek traditional safe-haven assets, including gold. Analysts are therefore watching both economic indicators and geopolitical developments for signs that could influence bullion prices in the coming sessions. Other precious metals also gain Gold was not the only precious metal to advance during Tuesday’s trading. Spot silver increased by 0.9% to $66.30 per ounce, maintaining its recent strength. Platinum also moved higher, gaining 0.7% to $1,765.26 per ounce. Meanwhile, palladium rose 0.8% to $1,394.00 per ounce. With US inflation figures due later in the week, traders are expected to remain cautious while assessing whether the latest economic data will reinforce expectations for a shift toward easier monetary policy. For gold, a combination of softer US economic indicators, a potentially weaker dollar, lower interest-rate expectations and continued geopolitical uncertainty could provide additional support to prices in the near term.

ISLAMABAD: The federal government has proposed recovering around Rs34 billion from consumers of distribution companies (Discos) and K-Electric through the quarterly tariff adjustment (QTA) for April-June 2026, translating into an estimated increase of Rs1.34 per unit. The proposed adjustment has been attributed largely to higher capacity-related costs resulting from a decline in electricity consumption during the quarter. However, representatives of the industrial sector have strongly opposed the proposed increase, arguing that businesses are already facing high electricity costs and cannot absorb another financial burden. The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) held a public hearing on Wednesday to examine the QTA request, during which representatives of industries, power distribution companies and the government presented their positions. Initially, the power distribution companies had requested an adjustment of Rs23.031 billion for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 under the QTA mechanism. The amount was later revised upward to Rs33.778 billion. According to the figures presented before NEPRA, the largest component of the proposed adjustment is related to capacity charges, amounting to Rs46.280 billion. Variable operation and maintenance costs account for another Rs4.936 billion. The calculation also includes a negative adjustment of Rs13.517 billion related to Use of System Charges (UoSC) and the Market Operator Fee (MOF), which partially offsets the overall increase. Similarly, Rs3.040 billion has been included to account for the impact of transmission and distribution losses on monthly Fuel Charges Adjustments (FCA). A further negative adjustment of Rs21.175 billion has been made under the incremental consumption package. The distribution companies have also claimed Rs14.211 billion for costs relating to Small Power Producers (SPPs) and Captive Power Producers (CPPs) that they say remained unrecovered. Industrial sector voices concern During the hearing, industrial representatives raised strong objections to the proposed QTA adjustment, warning that another increase in electricity prices could further weaken the competitiveness of Pakistan’s manufacturing sector. Rehan Javed, Aamir Sheikh and Tanveer Barry conveyed their concerns to NEPRA officials in the presence of representatives from the Ministry of Energy and the distribution companies. The representatives argued that industries were already operating under considerable cost pressures and that any additional increase in electricity tariffs would raise production expenses and make it more difficult for local businesses to compete in domestic and international markets. Tanveer Barry, representing the Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry (KCCI), particularly questioned the sharp rise in capacity-related charges. According to Barry, capacity charges had increased from around Rs36 billion in the first quarter to more than Rs50 billion in the period under review. He said the increase could ultimately translate into a much larger financial burden for consumers. He estimated that the combined impact could place an additional burden of approximately Rs3.50 per unit on consumers, depending on the final adjustment approved by the regulator. Barry also pointed out that eight distribution companies had reported positive capacity charges, while three had recorded negative adjustments. He urged NEPRA to examine the calculations and underlying reasons for the variations before approving any additional burden on consumers. Lower electricity demand Officials of the Peshawar Electric Power Company (Pesco) told the hearing that electricity consumption had fallen by approximately five per cent during the period under review. They attributed much of the decline to weaker demand from domestic and commercial consumers. Increasing adoption of solar energy was also cited as one of the factors reducing demand from residential consumers. NEPRA Member Maqsood Anwar Khan questioned Pesco officials about whether load-shedding was also being carried out in areas where consumers regularly paid their electricity bills. The Pesco representatives acknowledged that load-shedding was taking place. Maqsood Anwar Khan observed that interruptions in electricity supply could themselves contribute to lower electricity sales, as consumers would naturally use less grid electricity when supply was unavailable. Solarisation becomes key point of debate The growing use of solar power also featured prominently during the hearing. The NEPRA member noted that the expansion of solar generation had provided relief to the national electricity system by reducing daytime demand from the grid. He observed that without the contribution of solar energy, pressure on the power system and the need for daytime load management could have been considerably greater. He further noted that increasing solarisation was shifting the pattern of load-shedding, with pressure becoming more visible during night-time hours when solar generation was unavailable. The NEPRA member also disagreed with the assertion that solarisation alone was responsible for a decline in electricity sales, maintaining that the impact of rooftop and distributed solar generation should be assessed in a broader context. Industry questions capacity payments Industrial representatives also questioned why consumers should continue to shoulder substantial capacity payments when many areas were still experiencing load-shedding. Barry argued that consumers were effectively being asked to pay for electricity generation capacity while not receiving uninterrupted power supply. He further raised concerns about capacity payments being made to older and relatively inefficient power plants. According to him, the under-utilisation of generating units was contributing to higher capacity-related costs and ultimately increasing the price of electricity for consumers. The industrial sector also questioned whether the dispatch of power plants was fully aligned with the Economic Merit Order (EMO), arguing that deviations from the merit order could contribute to unnecessary costs. The representatives called on NEPRA to undertake a detailed review of the QTA calculations before reaching a final decision. They urged the regulator to defer the proposed increase, warning that higher electricity costs would place additional pressure on industries, increase production expenses and potentially undermine Pakistan’s export competitiveness. NEPRA is expected to examine the claims and objections raised during the public hearing before determining the final quarterly tariff adjustment applicable to consumers.