great tragedy partitionix

The Great Tragedy of Partition—IX   Was the tra…

History does not become inevitable merely because it happened

The Partition of British India is frequently narrated backwards. Because India and Pakistan emerged as separate states in August 1947, every disagreement preceding their creation is treated as another step towards an unavoidable conclusion. Political demands become fixed destinies, failed negotiations appear predestined to fail, and the violence accompanying the transfer of power is presented as the inevitable consequence of ancient communal hostility.

The documentary record examined in this series suggests a different conclusion. To ask whether Partition was inevitable is, in fact, to combine three distinct questions. Was the political division of British India unavoidable? Was the accelerated timetable chosen for the transfer of power unavoidable? Was the mass displacement and violence accompanying Partition unavoidable? These questions are related, but they do not admit the same answer.

The constitutional division of India was not historically inevitable from the beginning of the anti-colonial struggle. Competing political visions existed, but so did repeated attempts to accommodate them. The possibility of a united constitutional order survived the Lahore Resolution, the Cripps Mission and even the failure of the Simla Conference. The Cabinet Mission Plan of 1946 came remarkably close to obtaining acceptance from both Congress and the Muslim League by proposing a weak centre, autonomous provinces and compulsory provincial groupings.

That arrangement might have survived; it might also have collapsed under the weight of its own ambiguities. History cannot establish with certainty what would have happened under a constitutional plan that was never fully implemented. It can establish that an alternative existed and that, for a brief period, both principal political parties considered it preferable to immediate Partition.

The collapse of that opportunity did not result from one sentence, one leader or one political organisation. Congress feared that compulsory groupings would weaken the future Union and prevent the construction of an effective national government. The Muslim League feared that Congress would use its strength in the Constituent Assembly to dismantle the safeguards upon which Muslim-majority provinces had relied. British negotiators used ambiguity to secure agreement but failed to create a mechanism capable of resolving the conflicting interpretations that followed.

Political trust disappeared faster than constitutional ingenuity could replace it. By early 1947, division had become increasingly probable. The Cabinet Mission framework had collapsed, the interim government was paralysed, communal violence had spread and the principal political parties no longer shared a common conception of India’s constitutional future. An increasingly probable outcome, however, is not the same as an historically predetermined one. It was the cumulative product of decisions taken, compromises rejected, assurances doubted and opportunities lost.

The Second World War had accelerated this process. Britain’s strategic dependence upon India strengthened the bargaining positions of Indian political parties while weakening imperial authority. Congress demanded effective power and national independence. The Muslim League used the altered constitutional balance to secure recognition of Muslims as a political nation.

The Communist Party of India (CPI), approaching the question from an entirely different intellectual tradition, acknowledged the “just essence” of the Pakistan demand through the principle of national self-determination.

Muslim intellectuals were simultaneously debating what Pakistan would mean. The discussions in Tarjuman-ul-Qur’an and Tolu-e-Islam demonstrated that support for a Muslim homeland did not produce agreement about the nature of the future state. The political demand for Pakistan and the constitutional content of Pakistan were related questions, but they were never identical.

British policy also evolved. The Raj did not simply devise Partition according to a predetermined imperial design. Nor can it be treated as a neutral referee unable to influence events. British constitutional arrangements had shaped political representation, while wartime policy altered the balance between Congress and the Muslim League.

Cripps introduced the possibility that provinces might remain outside a future Union. Simla exposed the struggle over who could represent Indian Muslims. The Cabinet Mission attempted to preserve unity through decentralisation. Mountbatten ultimately concluded that division offered the fastest route to British withdrawal.

Responsibility was therefore differentiated, but it was not absent. Congress and the Muslim League made decisions with consequences they could not fully control. British authorities retained formal power, controlled the timetable and supervised the division of the state.

Provincial governments failed to protect vulnerable communities. Communal organisations, militias and local groups transformed political antagonism into killings, abductions and forced migration. Ordinary Hindus, Muslims and Sikhs, most of whom had exercised no influence over constitutional negotiations, paid the greatest price. This brings us to the second question. Even if political Partition had become unavoidable by the middle of 1947, was its hurried implementation equally unavoidable?

The evidence permits a firmer answer. Britain had initially announced that power would be transferred by June 1948. Mountbatten brought the date forward to August 1947. This acceleration left only weeks to divide provinces, assets, armed forces, civil services, railways, irrigation systems and administrative records.

The boundary awards were disclosed after the new states had formally come into existence. Political leaders could reasonably fear that prolonged uncertainty would intensify disorder, but haste was a choice made within difficult circumstances, not an irresistible law of history.

The third question concerns the violence itself. No provision of the Indian Independence Act ordered a compulsory exchange of populations. Nothing in constitutional separation required refugee trains to become moving graveyards, women to be abducted or families to abandon ancestral homes.

Violence arose from fear, organised attacks, retaliatory killings, administrative collapse and the failure to provide adequate security. Its precise course could not have been predicted, but its scale was not constitutionally necessary. The tragedy was therefore greater than Partition. It lay in the manner in which Partition was conceived, accelerated and implemented.

The Indian Independence Act legally created two Dominions, but independence did not immediately erase the institutions of empire. Section 8 allowed the governmental machinery of the Government of India Act, 1935, as adapted, to continue until the new Dominions framed their own constitutions. Pakistan would remain governed under that inherited framework until its first Constitution came into force in 1956. Political sovereignty had changed hands, while much of the administrative architecture remained colonial.

This produced one of the central paradoxes of independence. Two states created after decades of constitutional struggle began their existence without completed constitutions of their own. Their Constituent Assemblies inherited not merely legislative authority but the responsibility to convert political freedom into constitutional citizenship.

Muhammad Ali Jinnah confronted that responsibility in his address to Pakistan’s Constituent Assembly on August 11, 1947. He identified the framing of the Constitution and functioning as the sovereign federal legislature as the Assembly’s two principal tasks. He placed law and order first, condemned corruption, black-marketing and nepotism, and called upon Pakistan to proceed on the principle that its people were “all citizens and equal citizens of one State.”

Jawaharlal Nehru, addressing India’s Constituent Assembly at the moment of independence, similarly connected freedom with responsibility. He spoke of ending poverty, ignorance, disease and inequality of opportunity and affirmed that Indians, irrespective of religion, were entitled to equal rights, privileges and obligations.

The speeches emerged from different national movements, but both recognised the same constitutional truth: a state may be created through political mobilisation, but it can endure only by converting populations divided by history into citizens equal before the law.

Partition did not itself answer that challenge. It created a Muslim-majority Pakistan but did not create a religiously, linguistically or ethnically homogeneous society. It preserved a formally united India but left millions of Muslims within its borders. Minority rights, federalism, provincial autonomy, language, economic justice and the relationship between religious identity and citizenship remained unresolved on both sides.

For Pakistan, these questions soon moved from political speeches into constitutional conflict. The Objectives Resolution of March 1949 introduced a new formulation connecting divine sovereignty, authority exercised through the people’s chosen representatives, Islamic principles and safeguards for minorities. Its debates demonstrated that the intellectual questions examined in Pakistan before Pakistan had not ended with the achievement of statehood. They had entered the Constituent Assembly itself.

The constitutional history after 1947 would therefore be shaped by a question already present before independence: was Pakistan merely a territorial refuge for the Muslims of British India, an Islamic constitutional project, a democratic federation of its constituent peoples, or some combination of all three?

The failure to settle that question swiftly and consensually would have profound consequences. The tension between the centre and provinces, the search for parity between East and West Pakistan, the role of unelected institutions, the protection of minorities and the contest over popular sovereignty all arose from the unfinished constitutional inheritance of Partition.

The evidence examined in this series consequently permits a measured conclusion. Partition was not inevitable throughout the long history of the anti-colonial struggle. By 1947, it had become increasingly difficult to avoid because competing constitutional visions were no longer supported by sufficient political trust. The accelerated timetable was not inevitable. The scale of the resulting violence was certainly not inevitable.

This conclusion neither romanticises a united India nor denies the legitimacy of Muslim political aspirations. It recognises that nations are formed through historical choices rather than metaphysical necessity. Pakistan was achieved because millions of Muslims came to believe that their political, cultural and constitutional future required a separate state. The tragedy lay not in their aspiration for security and self-government, but in the failure of all concerned to secure those objectives without exposing millions of innocent people to displacement, violence and permanent hostility.

This series began by asking how a common anti-colonial struggle ended in communal division. The documents reveal no single conspiracy, villain or moment of irreversible destiny. They reveal a cumulative failure of constitutional accommodation, political trust, imperial responsibility and administrative preparation. British rule ended in August 1947. The constitutional debate did not.

The creation of Pakistan answered the question of whether a separate Muslim state would exist. It did not answer the more enduring question of what kind of state Pakistan would become. That is the history to which Pakistan after Pakistan (upcoming series) must now turn.

References: Principal Documents and Sources

His Majesty’s Government, Cabinet Mission Statement, May 16, 1946.

His Majesty’s Government, Plan for the Transfer of Power, June 3, 1947.

Indian Independence Act, 1947.

Muhammad Ali Jinnah, Address to the Constituent Assembly of Pakistan, August 11, 1947.

Jawaharlal Nehru, Tryst with Destiny, August 14, 1947.

Constituent Assembly of Pakistan, Debates on the Objectives Resolution, March 1949.

Nicholas Mansergh (ed.), The Transfer of Power 1942–47.

Stanley Wolpert, Shameful Flight: The Last Years of the British Empire in India.

Yasmin Khan, The Great Partition: The Making of India and Pakistan.

Gowher Rizvi, Linlithgow and India.

[Concluded]

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Dr. Ikramul Haq, Advocate Supreme Court, Adjunct Faculty at Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), member Advisory Board and Visiting Senior Fellow of Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE), holds an LLD in tax laws. He was full-time journalist from 1979 to 1984 with Viewpoint and Dawn. He also served Civil Services of Pakistan from 1984 to 1996.

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    Pakistan is about to privatise three of its distribution companies — FESCO, GEPCO and IESCO — and call it reform. It is not reform. It is triage, dressed up by three institutions that have run out of the credibility to call it anything else. The government picked these three not because they are the future of Pakistan’s grid, but because they are the only ones healthy enough to survive being sold. Their transmission and distribution losses sit around 9–10 percent, low by Pakistani standards, and their books are clean enough to attract a buyer. That is not a privatisation strategy. That is a garage sale of the family’s least broken furniture while the roof still leaks — supervised by the very carpenters who let the roof rot. And look who is showing up to bid. Expressions of interest have come from a handful of Pakistani business houses — conglomerates looking for a new asset class. Not one of them has run a national distribution network at scale, with the theft, the political interference, and the feeder-level rot that defines an ex-WAPDA DISCO. We have seen this film before. It was called K-Electric. At the time of its 2005 privatisation, KE was drawing a subsidy of roughly Rs 8 billion. Two decades later, it needed a Rs163 billion tariff differential subsidy in the FY2026–27 federal budget just to keep its consumers’ bills from reflecting its own inefficiency. Twenty-fold growth in the subsidy bill is not what privatisation was sold as. If that is what “successful” privatisation looks like, Pakistan should be terrified of doing it two, or eleven, more times. The rot is institutional, and it has three addresses. NEPRA has spent years rubber-stamping tariff hikes, capitulating to circular debt, and failing to enforce performance standards on the DISCOs it already regulates — a ceremonial regulator that confuses notifying a tariff with governing a sector. CPPA-G, sitting at the centre of the power purchase and settlement system, has presided over a circular debt mountain that keeps climbing regardless of who is nominally in charge, and has never been made to answer for it. And the Ministry of Power itself has spent a decade approving capacity contracts, rejecting cheaper foreign offers, and rotating leadership through the same small circle of appointees who preside over one crisis and then the next. None of these three institutions has the standing left to supervise a privatisation of this scale. Handing FESCO, GEPCO and IESCO to private buyers while NEPRA still writes the tariff rules, CPPA-G still runs settlement, and the Ministry still calls the shots is not privatisation — it is a death sentence dressed in a share-purchase agreement, executed slowly, one quarterly tariff adjustment at a time, on the very consumers this reform claims to protect. A regulator that could not discipline a state-owned utility is not going to discipline a private one with dollar-indexed tariff protections and lawyers on retainer. Investors bidding for FESCO, GEPCO and IESCO are already demanding exactly that: payment guarantees in US dollars, contractual protection against future renegotiation, and freedom to slash staff. Pakistan is not privatising its grid. It is handing three of its most valuable state assets to whoever negotiates the toughest exit clause, under a regulator, a market operator, and a ministry with no track record of holding anyone to account. There was a better road, and Pakistan turned it down. In 2016, Chinese Smart Grid firms — brought to the table personally (Engineer Arshad H Abbasi) in that effort — offered to bring smart grid technology into Pakistan’s distribution network, the same technology that helped State Grid Corporation of China push national transmission and distribution losses down to roughly the mid-single digits in recent years. The proposal on the table was a shared-risk model: China would modernise the DISCOs into smart grids over a decade, splitting recovered losses fifty-fifty with the state. It would have cost Pakistan almost nothing upfront and aligned China’s incentives directly with reducing theft and technical loss — the two diseases actually killing Pakistan’s grid. The Ministry of Power and the Planning Commission rejected it. A parallel 2015 pitch to interconnect Pakistan’s grid with China’s has sat on the drawing board for over a decade. Meanwhile Pakistan built its way into the LNG and imported-coal trap that now drives the very capacity payments crushing consumers and taxpayers alike — a trap Chinese engineers, who have spent thirty years wiring one of the largest and most loss-efficient grids on earth, would likely have steered Pakistan away from. Compare the region. India already exports power to Nepal, Bhutan and Bangladesh and is deepening links with Sri Lanka and Myanmar. Bhutan alone hosts roughly 3,156 MW of Indian-financed hydropower capacity across five major projects — a model of a regional power partner investing in generation rather than merely trading finished electricity. Pakistan, by contrast, cannot even get its own national grid properly connected into Gilgit-Baltistan or Gwadar, a port city that still runs short of reliable power despite sitting at the centre of a multi-billion-dollar Chinese economic corridor. China already has more than 5,000 MW of committed CPEC power capacity inside Pakistan, selected and negotiated by the Planning Commission, and a demonstrated willingness to build hydropower in difficult terrain. It is time to stop pretending Pakistan can manage this alone. Invite China to finance and build the hydropower across GB, AJK and KPK the way India financed Bhutan, and let Pakistan’s surplus eventually be wheeled toward Afghanistan, toward India, even toward China itself — which still needs to retire coal capacity and would gladly take clean power off a friend’s grid. Because that is what China has been, in a relationship most Pakistanis do not need convincing about: a friend when the ledger was empty, a builder when nobody else would build, a partner sweeter than honey and, on the balance sheet of sixty years of cooperation, standing taller than Everest over every other option on the table. NEPRA and CPPA-G have failed

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