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Pakistan has witnessed a significant decline in registered blasphemy cases this year following a crackdown on hardline religious groups, signalling what analysts describe as a major shift in the country’s security policy. According to figures cited by the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan (HRCP), only 13 blasphemy cases have been registered so far in 2026, marking a fall of nearly two-thirds compared with the same period in recent years. Data from conflict monitoring organisation ACLED also indicates that only one blasphemy-related riot or attack has occurred over the past year, compared with an annual average of more than seven incidents between 2021 and 2024. The decline comes after security agencies intensified action against several extremist organisations accused of exploiting blasphemy allegations to incite violence. Officials familiar with the matter said the campaign has included arrests of key figures, restrictions on organisational activities, freezing of financial assets and tighter monitoring of religious gatherings. The change was evident during an incident in Karachi last month, where allegations of blasphemy against a Christian family drew a large crowd. Police officers intervened before the situation turned violent and persuaded protesters to disperse peacefully. Authorities later determined that the accusations against the family were baseless, allowing them to be moved to safety without further harm. Analysts believe the reduced presence of organised extremist groups has played a key role in preventing mob violence that has historically followed blasphemy accusations. Pakistan has witnessed around 90 blasphemy-related lynchings since 1990, with many incidents beginning after rumours spread through local communities. Security experts say the military leadership has adopted a tougher stance against groups previously accused of using religious sentiments to mobilise supporters and pressure governments. They argue the policy shift is linked to broader efforts to strengthen Pakistan’s international image, attract foreign investment and improve relations with Western countries while tackling growing security threats at home. Officials also believe that curbing religious extremism is necessary to address worsening militancy in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, where insurgent violence continues to challenge the state’s authority. Some analysts say extremist organisations and militant groups have historically drawn support from similar networks of radicalised youth. The country’s largest hardline religious party, Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP), was banned last year after authorities concluded that its activities posed a threat to public order and Pakistan’s international reputation. Government measures reportedly included detaining senior leaders, sealing offices and restricting financial operations. The party has rejected the ban, calling it unconstitutional. Despite the decline in violence, observers caution that extremist ideology remains deeply rooted in parts of society. Human rights advocates say minority communities, including Christians, Ahmadis and Shia Muslims, continue to live under the fear of false accusations, as Pakistan’s blasphemy laws remain in force and carry the death penalty. Security analysts also warn that sustained enforcement will be necessary to prevent banned organisations from regrouping or resurfacing under new identities. They argue that long-term success will depend on consistent policies rather than temporary crackdowns.